Current Poll Results by State

[Tiffikat]

http://electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Pres/Pngs/Oct14.png


Strong Dem (235) http://electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Icons/lightblue.gif Weak Dem (45) http://electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Icons/whiteblue.gif Barely Dem (77) http://electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Icons/white.gif Exactly tied (0) http://electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Icons/whitered.gif Barely GOP (26) http://electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Icons/lightred.gif Weak GOP (24) http://electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Icons/darkred.gif Strong GOP (131)


Strong Dem is supposed to be the dark blue. I can't get that to copy properly though.

These are the current results according to electoral-vote.com

You can click on the link to see detailed results for each state.
http://electoral-vote.com/

I thought it was interesting enough to share though. From what I can tell they attempt to use only nonpartisan polls and when a poll comes through looking biased they hold off before using it or even readjust the chart later if something biased is shown.

[NellieRose]

As someone who canvassed hundreds of homes over the last few days it is clear what the trends here in my state are for people who are registered to vote but don't vote regularly. :)

[vegaschristina]

Interesting.

[[michele]]

I like to stop by FiveThirtyEight (http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/) every day.

:) Michele

[lunafaerie]

Thanks for posting this, closer than some I've seen lately. This one looks pretty good.

[strangejen]

I'm annoyed with how misleading the map is when you are primarily looking at LAND MASS and not people. For example, it's easy to look at the mid-west and say "Look! Most of America is red!" but in reality, those states have small populations. Their person per square mile ratio is SO much smaller than those of a lot of blue states.

Montana, for instance (where I'm from) has 3 times the land mass that Tennessee does (where I am now), yet 1/3 --almost 1/4 -- the electoral votes.

Somewhere I've seen a map adjusted for people, not land mass. That gives a much more effective visual.

Coming back to add . . . I remember someone saying once that MT has more cows per square mile than it has people. :) The metro area where I now reside (if you count Nashville/Davidson county and the surrounding counties -- basically 30 miles out each way) has a larger population than the ENTIRE STATE of MT. (Yes, moving here was a weird adjustment. LOL.)

[Tiffikat]

:lol Jen

Tania, this site updates daily and uses a formula that considers all past polls as well I believe.

Michelle, I'm off to check that site out too.

[strangejen]

ah, here we go: wikipedia page (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Red_states_and_blue_states).

scroll down to the "purple states" section. Really what we have in this country is a bunch of purple states. :)

[kjbstevens]

Yeah don't worry our entire state is drowned by Baltimore even though the rest of the state is red. Nothing else in this state matters because of the amount of people there even though this side of the state is very rural and conservative. There just aren't enough of us. hehe

[lunafaerie]

Yep, just another way the campaigns try to divide us and get us fighting one another. Red vs. Blue.

What's interesting to me is that the Obama campaign knew this in the primaries and they knew it going into the main campaign and now McCain is defending states that have been "red" for several cycles. That's smart politics, now matter who you think is better fit to lead ;)

[Tiffikat]

I like being a purple state, it really is such a pretty color. :lol

[strangejen]

Yeah don't worry our entire state is drowned by Baltimore even though the rest of the state is red. Nothing else in this state matters because of the amount of people there even though this side of the state is very rural and conservative. There just aren't enough of us. hehe

I have the opposite problem, being a liberal latte-drinking intellectual (which people say like it's a bad thing?) in Tennessee. :)

[NellieRose]

I have the opposite problem, being a liberal latte-drinking intellectual (which people say like it's a bad thing?) in Tennessee. :)

:rofl2

Remind me to tell you of the story of me (of all people) in Nashville at a fundraiser for "Republican Business Women" who were trying to go to the RNC as delegates!!!

Just to keep your minds from wandering I was there to thank and spend time with a Judge that had handed down a major decision on an animal cruelty case....we had been lobbying long and hard that the book be thrown at the abusers. A friend's parents are high up in the Republican politics on the state level so I had entree to this shindig...it was quite an experience! :D

[JCSimon]

Good heavens, Jayne! You didn't get struck by lightening??

[Miss Chris]

imagine poor little democrat me stuck in Kansas, some days I swear I just can't take it!!

[mama_pajama]

Try being an Obama supporter in McCain country! My poor vote.

[snaggletooth75]

Unfortunatley my state is for the Democrats. Which is odd cause we have a Repub Govenor LOL Oh well Im still voting Repub

[NellieRose]

Try being an Obama supporter in McCain country! My poor vote.

I have to ask.... is it still considered "McCain Country" seeing as he does not appear to be the politician he once was? Do the people talk of him not being the same at all?

[kjbstevens]

I have to ask.... is it still considered "McCain Country" seeing as he does not appear to be the politician he once was? Do the people talk of him not being the same at all?
The people here are more worried about their everyday lives and not watching the news all of the time. There isn't the negativity about the race. They are just born Republicans here that discount the Democrats before they speak. There are billboards of him and Palin on the highway. I wouldn't realize anyone else was running I didn't watch the news.

[mama_pajama]

I have to ask.... is it still considered "McCain Country" seeing as he does not appear to be the politician he once was? Do the people talk of him not being the same at all?

From what I've heard, it really is still McCain country. The people I talk to pretty much ignore the fact that he's changed his ideas so drastically. I do see change here, considering our governor is a female Democrat, but the state generally still votes Republican and loves their man McCain.

[~ashleigh]

While I am surprised (and thrilled) to see my state slowly return to purple (from the fire-engine red of the last 8 years), I feel a bit like a fish out of water in my when people in my area are waking to find their Obama signs burned in their yards (http://www.ksdk.com/news/local/story.aspx?storyid=157327).

[lunafaerie]

While I am surprised (and thrilled) to see my state slowly return to purple (from the fire-engine red of the last 8 years), I feel a bit like a fish out of water in my when people in my area are waking to find their Obama signs burned in their yards (http://www.ksdk.com/news/local/story.aspx?storyid=157327).

Okay, I totally saw the stealing thing as teens causing trouble, but that is SO NOT OKAY!

What is happening here? I'm not scared of Obama, I'm not scared of McCain. At this point, I'm pretty scared of everyone else :(

[scrappychic]

Interesting that where there's water, it's blue (in general).....

[Gina.Maria]

I have to ask.... is it still considered "McCain Country" seeing as he does not appear to be the politician he once was? Do the people talk of him not being the same at all?

Oh, God yes. He's the "Favorite Son" and contemporary to the exceedingly high population of retirees in Central and Southern Arizona. I don't really even know how it happens, though, because I stand in line (yes, we've had really long lines for our Presidential elections) and chat with everyone around and they're all Democrats voting for a Democrat, yet the final count doesn't reflect that. It almost always comes down to the latecomer results from rural polling places.

Interesting that where there's water, it's blue (in general).....

It helps everyone keep a cool head. ;)

[Scorpiosue1102]

Last post before bed. I'm right in Obama country. I'm about 40 minutes from Chicago. My area is very democrat, but only 15 minutes away it's very Republican. I'd love for Obama to come back to Illinois so I could go to a rally, but for some reason I think Illinois is going to stay blue.

[Gina.Maria]

Simonetta ~ It' makes me thankful that I didn't blow off the opportunity to go see him in Berlin. I even got to shake his hand! He's a compelling speaker and listening to him in person and feeling the reaction (yes, it's physical) is something special. I read MSM reports of the Berlin speech and they did nothing to capture the truth of the event.

[scribler]

While I am surprised (and thrilled) to see my state slowly return to purple (from the fire-engine red of the last 8 years), I feel a bit like a fish out of water in my when people in my area are waking to find their Obama signs burned in their yards (http://www.ksdk.com/news/local/story.aspx?storyid=157327).

That is so wrong! I don't even think wrong is the best word here but this has me at a loss for words.


What is happening here? I'm not scared of Obama, I'm not scared of McCain.(

I'm with you here. Yes, I have my preference, but if he doesn't win the world will still turn the next day and my life won't end. And I don't think that our country will be destroyed if my candidate doesn't win. But I know there are others, and I am sure they are on both sides, who see it very differently.

I know a man who after the last election couldn't eat, couldn't sleep and wouldn't leave his house for days because Bush was re-elected. And he abandoned a friendship of over 20 years, because his friend wasn't a liberal like himself (and the friend is extremely moderate). How insane!

[Heather Manning]

If Dark Blue is strong Dem - that makes Iowa strong Democratic. Which I think is interesting, because on our own talk radio station here the other day (I think it was yesterday) they were saying that we were barely leaning toward Obama here - and it wasn't a republican station, it's a show that has one man leaning right, one man far left - and they both said it. That it's still a toss up and any man's game.

[HLWalter725]

If Dark Blue is strong Dem - that makes Iowa strong Democratic. Which I think is interesting, because on our own talk radio station here the other day (I think it was yesterday) they were saying that we were barely leaning toward Obama here - and it wasn't a republican station, it's a show that has one man leaning right, one man far left - and they both said it. That it's still a toss up and any man's game.

I could be wrong, but I really think the vast majority of the country is still like this right now. I don't think we'll truly know till all the votes are counted. Every time I see a poll locally it is oh so close -- even if I am in a purple state!!

Seems to me that anything could still happen.

[4noisyboys]

Yeah don't worry our entire state is drowned by Baltimore even though the rest of the state is red. Nothing else in this state matters because of the amount of people there even though this side of the state is very rural and conservative. There just aren't enough of us. hehe

Well, same here in California. It doesn't matter that I am one of maybe a handful of Democrats here in suburban Southern CA. Because of Los Angeles and San Francisco, we will go blue!! It's good for me though....I can just look at my neighbors and smile!! They can put all the McCain/Palin bumper stickers on that they want. California WILL go blue!!

[4noisyboys]

Simonetta ~ It' makes me thankful that I didn't blow off the opportunity to go see him in Berlin. I even got to shake his hand! He's a compelling speaker and listening to him in person and feeling the reaction (yes, it's physical) is something special. I read MSM reports of the Berlin speech and they did nothing to capture the truth of the event.

Well, what a wonderful "first person handshake" you have to offer!!

This is a game my Austrian friends play. I personally had not heard of it before, but great conversation over dinner and drinks!!!

[AKSheridan]

Last post before bed. I'm right in Obama country. I'm about 40 minutes from Chicago. My area is very democrat, but only 15 minutes away it's very Republican. I'd love for Obama to come back to Illinois so I could go to a rally, but for some reason I think Illinois is going to stay blue.

I'm outside of Chicago too, but quite a ways north near Gurnee on the Chain of Lakes. It's very Republican here and I'm starting to worry about having an Obama sticker on my car. I've thought about taking it off out of fear, but I refuse...this is America for crying out loud! I'm from Schaumburg originally and I wouldn't worry about it there, but here just 45 mins away it's different.

[Scorpiosue1102]

I'm outside of Chicago too, but quite a ways north near Gurnee on the Chain of Lakes. It's very Republican here and I'm starting to worry about having an Obama sticker on my car. I've thought about taking it off out of fear, but I refuse...this is America for crying out loud! I'm from Schaumburg originally and I wouldn't worry about it there, but here just 45 mins away it's different.


Oh my gosh! I grew up in Schaumburg. I lived right off of Schaumburg and Salem. Such a small world.

[Scorpiosue1102]

I'm with you here. Yes, I have my preference, but if he doesn't win the world will still turn the next day and my life won't end. And I don't think that our country will be destroyed if my candidate doesn't win. But I know there are others, and I am sure they are on both sides, who see it very differently.



Totally agree. These are good men with different fundamental ideas. I would not touch the office of the President with a ten foot pole. Good luck to whoever wins. They're going to need it.

[NellieRose]

Totally agree. These are good men with different fundamental ideas. I would not touch the office of the President with a ten foot pole. Good luck to whoever wins. They're going to need it.

What Sue said! :)

[scribler]

Totally agree. These are good men with different fundamental ideas. I would not touch the office of the President with a ten foot pole. Good luck to whoever wins. They're going to need it.

I worry that they are going to need more than luck. Say a miracle. (Not feeling very optimistic today.)

[Chreamps]

Yes, like a sweatshirt that I saw the other day: "We're all screwed! 2008"

[kjbstevens]

After watching that show last night I'm not nearly as much as I was either. Neither of these guys are presidental material or really have experience with this stuff. All I feel like now is we have a grumpy man vs a motivational speaker. Sigh.

[strangejen]

All I feel like now is we have a grumpy man vs a motivational speaker

HA HA HA! that's actually a pretty good summary.

All I could think during the primaries was: THESE are our choices? America's supposed to be so great, and THESE people (on BOTH sides) are all we can come up with?!!!

[scribler]

Yes, like a sweatshirt that I saw the other day: "We're all screwed! 2008"

I want that shirt. (But maybe in the t-shirt variety. I am in S. Florida. lol)

[Chreamps]

Here's the link to CafePress (http://shop.cafepress.com/design/30291532).

http://images.cafepress.com/product/308289187v3_350x350_Front_Color-White.jpg

Hey, they have t-shirts, sweatshirts, tanks...... (LOL)!

[scribler]

I see a new t-shirt in my future. :O)

[Scorpiosue1102]

Great t-shirt Chris. CNN is just said Virginia is turning blue.

[Gina.Maria]

They must be holding their breath. :giggle

[NellieRose]

That it's still a toss up and any man's game.

I agree....this won't be over until that proverbial fat lady sings on election day.

[strangejen]

on election day

well . . . gotta anticipate weeks of lawsuits, too, if it's close. ;)

[NellieRose]

well . . . gotta anticipate weeks of lawsuits, too, if it's close. ;)

Oh yeah, those too! :eek

Here's to a clear winner......:)