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Old 10-14-2008, 09:37 AM
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Default Current Poll Results by State




Strong Dem (235) Weak Dem (45) Barely Dem (77) Exactly tied (0) Barely GOP (26) Weak GOP (24) Strong GOP (131)


Strong Dem is supposed to be the dark blue. I can't get that to copy properly though.

These are the current results according to electoral-vote.com

You can click on the link to see detailed results for each state.
http://electoral-vote.com/

I thought it was interesting enough to share though. From what I can tell they attempt to use only nonpartisan polls and when a poll comes through looking biased they hold off before using it or even readjust the chart later if something biased is shown.
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Old 10-14-2008, 09:50 AM
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As someone who canvassed hundreds of homes over the last few days it is clear what the trends here in my state are for people who are registered to vote but don't vote regularly.
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Old 10-14-2008, 09:50 AM
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Interesting.
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Old 10-14-2008, 09:55 AM
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I like to stop by FiveThirtyEight every day.

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Old 10-14-2008, 09:59 AM
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Thanks for posting this, closer than some I've seen lately. This one looks pretty good.
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Old 10-14-2008, 10:01 AM
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I'm annoyed with how misleading the map is when you are primarily looking at LAND MASS and not people. For example, it's easy to look at the mid-west and say "Look! Most of America is red!" but in reality, those states have small populations. Their person per square mile ratio is SO much smaller than those of a lot of blue states.

Montana, for instance (where I'm from) has 3 times the land mass that Tennessee does (where I am now), yet 1/3 --almost 1/4 -- the electoral votes.

Somewhere I've seen a map adjusted for people, not land mass. That gives a much more effective visual.

Coming back to add . . . I remember someone saying once that MT has more cows per square mile than it has people. The metro area where I now reside (if you count Nashville/Davidson county and the surrounding counties -- basically 30 miles out each way) has a larger population than the ENTIRE STATE of MT. (Yes, moving here was a weird adjustment. LOL.)
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Old 10-14-2008, 10:06 AM
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Jen

Tania, this site updates daily and uses a formula that considers all past polls as well I believe.

Michelle, I'm off to check that site out too.
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Old 10-14-2008, 10:10 AM
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ah, here we go: wikipedia page.

scroll down to the "purple states" section. Really what we have in this country is a bunch of purple states.
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Old 10-14-2008, 10:12 AM
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Yeah don't worry our entire state is drowned by Baltimore even though the rest of the state is red. Nothing else in this state matters because of the amount of people there even though this side of the state is very rural and conservative. There just aren't enough of us. hehe
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Old 10-14-2008, 10:14 AM
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Yep, just another way the campaigns try to divide us and get us fighting one another. Red vs. Blue.

What's interesting to me is that the Obama campaign knew this in the primaries and they knew it going into the main campaign and now McCain is defending states that have been "red" for several cycles. That's smart politics, now matter who you think is better fit to lead
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